Out Of Control

Wednesday, 18 January 2012 00:26
dr_phil_physics: (dr-phil-driving)
I Hate Ice

I love winter and I love the challenges of Great Lakes winters, but it is too warm down here too often and we get too much ice. Seven-and-a-half years in the U.P. and we really didn't need 4WD -- just good snow tires.

Tuesday we went from temps near 40°F which melted all the icicles to 29°F by the time I was coming home. Supposed to be 15°F overnight. All told today we had rain, fog, freezing rain, graupel, snow, ice and heavy winds to polish the roads.

You could really see the shine on the road from reflected headlights. 4WD and geared down to D(3) or 2 on the 4-speed automatic transmission. Most people took the freeways at 50-60 mph. Those wind gusts -- I think if I'd been in 2WD I might have lost stability.

Once off the freeway, I could slow down further, but heading towards the lake, it was definitely getting slippier. West of Allendale, M-45 traffic drops off a lot, which doesn't help keep the road clear. At 35-50mph I suddenly felt the Blazer spin to the left and slide right across the other lane and off the road.

The couple of times I've started sliding on icy roads I've usually gotten the wheel turned and straightened it out into a recovery. I managed to get the front wheels lined up the way I was sliding, but the angle was too great and I was off the road. No one around me when it happened. Where I slid off wasn't quite at the corn fields -- which is a good thing. Instead it was a long slide towards a berm, which spun me around as I came to a stop.

But... I quickly realized this wasn't so bad. I hadn't hit anything -- a quick looksee seemed to reveal no damage. So despite the soft ground and snow, I put it into low gear and eased it forward. Yay! Forward progress. Of course, I had to stop before the road and then couldn't move. Dammit. Got my shovel and cleared around the tires. No joy.

Then a pickup truck stopped with strobe light hazard flashers and a gentleman was able to use a tow strap to pull me the eight feet to the shoulder. Freedom. Kept it slow the rest of the way. You know that bit about most accidents happening within seven miles of home? Yeah. Under 3 miles.

Mrs. Dr. Phil had hauled the garbage out to the road, so I towed the recycling bin. Normally I'd back up the driveway afterwards. But I thought it would be better to cross the road and turn around. Except I hit a ridge of ice and felt the Blazer slew to the left. That noise? I was up against the fire sign. And about to fall down into the drainage ditch. Could not get any traction.

So I called home, 250 feet away. Mrs. Dr. Phil came down, but couldn't get any footing to push. So we trudged up the driveway. Best to deal with it in daylight. But a few minutes later there was a knock on the door and Brian from next door had seen the Blazer and offered to haul me out. Success!

So, I've posted the following to my classes -- NOW the weather people are warning about black ice. (grin)


Dr. Phil
dr_phil_physics: (kate-winter-coat)
Unlike Groundhog's Day...

... I canceled classes and WMU didn't follow suit. Can't say that I am too bothered with this. North of Grand Rapids there was a 50-car pileup on US-131. They say that K-zoo got hit with some of the most ice and had widespread power outages. Channel 3 and 7, both run out of Kalamazoo were off of our cable since around 1am, but that may be the antenna at our cable company. The Channel 3 website at 12:59pm listed "The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids maintains WINTER STORM WARNINGS in Allegan, Barry, Van Buren, Kalamazoo, and Calhoun counties until 4 PM", so my guess that come back north this afternoon had I gone south in the morning wouldn't necessarily be all that great either.



As I reported yesterday, the snow globe effect started after noon on Sunday:


At 7:45 this morning, I was looking out the window and some movement caught my eye. I saw one, then two big dogs -- looked like white and reddish St. Bernard's or similar large, fluffy, happy dogs making their way across our property and checking out the 1994 red Blazer. Okay, when they send out the St. Bernard's to check on people, I'm thinking that staying home is a good idea. (grin)

No, those are human footprints in the snow...

Attempts to adjust the brightness and contrast failed to show any features way down our driveway, so we'll have to see how deep and/or icy and/or crusty/crunchy this all is when I attempt to go to a 4:30 PT appointment:


Meanwhile, after today, the weather will be nicer for a few days, before some rain or snow and maybe another storm next weekend.

Dr. Phil
dr_phil_physics: (kate-winter-coat)
7am Sunday to 7am Monday... Or Not

Big winter storm warning. North of us will likely get a foot or so. But West Michigan is looking at temps hovering right around freezing, so we're expecting snow, freezing rain, ice and sleet. By morning, we could have ¾" of ice.

We had no snow or precip at 7am, 8am, 10am or 11am. Sometime after noon heavy snow globe type snow began. And within ten minutes the ground was covered in white after being brown yesterday.

The worst part of this is not knowing what the commute will be like. Not that This Is Teh Worst Storm Evah.

The Warm And The Cold Of It

Our warm-up peaked last week at around 56°F. Yesterday was upper 30s but sunshine all day. Pretty much got rid of most of the snow. Interesting last weekend to look at the reports of the record lows from 1899. Thursday, Friday, Saturday, the lows that year were -33°F, -29°F and -22°F. What makes this somewhat remarkable is that the Weather Channel is currently giving us the stats from Grand Haven MI, which is on Lake Michigan. The lake usually moderates the temps, so I would imagine that this must've been an arctic blast coming down out of the north or northeast, instead of across the lake.

Of course, don't imagine that record -33°F lows in 1899 and +56°F highs in 2011 on the same few days are indicative of anything in particular about global warming. One set of cherry picked data points is about weather, not climate.

One does have remind people about this from time to time, in either direction. (grin)

Dr. Phil

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