dr_phil_physics: (Default)
I Was Going To Write A Different Post

But just before I started, the power came back on.

Winter Storm Draco deposited almost no snow here in Allendale, but we had gusty high winds up to 50 mph all night and most of the day. So not a total surprise when the lights went out at 11:15 this morning. ... wait six seconds and the Kohler 12kW automatic backup generator came on.

The laptop had a battery, so it didn't go out, of course. For once I decided to see what Consumers Energy did online for outages. The header said that 25,000, no make that 27,000 customers were affected. They had a nice map, which had an angled shape north and west of Allendale, colored in orange-tan -- the legend said 201-1,000 affected. We were in it. As the hours ran on, I recalled that they pull the repair crews from wire work above like 45-50mph winds for safety.
“High winds throughout the day have challenged our crews, with additional power outages occurring while we worked to restore earlier interruptions. These men and women are focused on working safely in adverse conditions while restoring service to customers as quickly as possible and I thank them for their efforts,” said Garrick Rochow, the utility’s vice president of energy delivery. “We are cautiously optimistic that as the weather improves late tonight and into Saturday, we’ll get the upper hand on the damage caused by this strong storm. We thank our customers for their patience.”

67,000 were still dark when our power came on and the generator started its seven minute cooldown cycle. Some 144,000 total customers since 4am.

Sorry, Charter

Charter Communications, our cable company, keeps suggesting that it's dumb to depend on the phone company's DSL for Internet. By 8:45pm, though, our cable kept getting interrupted. If we used a cable modem, we wouldn't be watching reruns of Sherlock on Netflix streaming.

We have a much more reliable local Allendale telephone company than any cable company I've ever dealt with. Pthhhhhbt!

Dr. Phil
dr_phil_physics: (Default)
As We Waited...

It occurred to me that John might not have the house phone number, that I'd pulled his cell number on my cellphone, and that I normally turn my cellphone off when I am not using it -- I'm sure that's a horror story right there for most people younger than us. (grin) So I turned my phone back on and an hour later, John called. He wasn't going to be able to come and do my driveway, after all, but he'd called Sikkema & Sons and they'd do the job with a backhoe for the same price. Understandable that he had to cancel, he'd been working at plowing out at the airport. But nice of him to arrange for a replacement!

Called Terry Sikkema and he said sure, but he was going to eat dinner first. Fine, no problem -- no one had to drive out until around 7:50am anyway. Gave him our landline number. A few minutes later, phone rang. Apparently Mrs. Sikkema figured he should do the job while the waning light was still there and said she'd slow down dinner. (double-grin)

And A Short Time Later...


Here comes the backhoe!


Don't worry about the snapping of those dry branches -- they're scrub trees anyway and we have to keep hacking the branches back from the driveway anyway. Used to having branches break from trucks and gear heavier than a Blazer or a Bravada. (triple-snap-grin)


There is nothing like having the right tool for the job, and an artist who can wield said tool with precision.


And as the sun sets...

... we are freed from our icy prison. If we so wish. Fifty dollars well spent.

Dr. Phil
dr_phil_physics: (kate-winter-coat)
Back From Past The Howling Steppes Of Siberia...

When Mrs. Dr. Phil came in after scooping, she reported that she'd managed to make it out to the road. But there was no mail or newspaper at 3:45pm-ish. Not too surprising, actually. But the daily e-mail digest from the Grand Rapids Press said that though the papers were printed, they couldn't be sure of delivery today, so they were making the e-print version of today's paper available for free.

Now that's rather resourceful and clever of them. Good call. As a result, I've already printed today's Sudoku. (grin)


Shot from the steps inside the garage, so I wouldn't track in stuff on my shoes. (grin)

The snow is 8-12" deep down the driveway, and being quite dry because of the cold is actually pretty light stuff. In theory if John doesn't get here with his blade, I think I could make it out of here in 4WD and carve a 2nd tire track in the snow. But hopefully we won't have to test that theory. (double-grin)

Dr. Phil
dr_phil_physics: (kate-winter-coat)
Other Than These Piles Of Snow

Outside the southern windows of the kitty room, a basement room which is partly buried into the ground anyway, there is an impressive wall of snow from a drift three feet or more high. It makes it look like the snow is six feet deep out there. (grin)

The weather people are saying we got around 16" of snow -- about the same total as the Blizzard of 1978, actually, which is relatively impressive. We have clear blue skies and sun right now, 3:45pm EST, and there is still some wind. A neighbor is supposed to come by with a bulldozer to clear the long part of the driveway for us.


Peeking out of the garage to the west...


.... and to the east.

Of course, the cats don't really care. They will, just as they did in the photo from a couple of weeks ago, just sleep together in a heap, on a lovely warm afghan, in a brightly lit and centrally heated room this evening. Lucky stiffs. I'm writing two exams -- and Mrs. Dr. Phil has a handout assignment to write. Snow day? Puh-lease. It's homework for us.


Blue sleeping on top of Sam, who doesn't seem to mind.

Western Michigan University of course updated its homepage:
"Classes resume, and WMU resumes normal operation Thursday, Feb. 3."

Dr. Phil

Finally...

Wednesday, 2 February 2011 02:29
dr_phil_physics: (wmu-logo)
IT'S THE END OF THE WORLD

Well, the weather people in West Michigan have been hyping this winter storm for nearly a week. Fact is, nearly every storm which has clobbered the Midwest west of here or clobbered the East Coast repeatedly, has ended up going around West Michigan. Oh sure, right on the lakeshore there have been multiple one- to two-foot snowfalls. But much of the prevailing lake effect bands have been running down Lake Michigan, north to south, and Allendale is located inside the "waist" of Michigan, so we just haven't gotten all that much snow. Alas, it's really been too warm, so we've got a lot of ice.

By Sunday, which started off a beautiful sunny day, the National Weather Service chimed in and issued the first Winter Storm Advisories for Tuesday night and Wednesday -- and the magic word "blizzard" popped out. And the hype machine was on. Storm forecasts of 12"-14" are now 14"-18". And on Tuesday, they moved up the warnings from 7pm to 5pm.

I don't remember where I was on US-131 coming home on Tuesday, but at 5:02pm the snow started. Before that I was just dealing with icy roads and gusty crosswinds. Mrs. Dr. Phil posted on Facebook that "5:10 pm -- home, no sign of snow all day long. 5:27 pm -- OMG! It's snowing sideways, can't see out to the road!"

Yeah, the blizzard is actually here.

Everybody's Doing It

I warned my students that if the storm followed Track A and not Track B, then I probably couldn't make it to K-zoo on Wednesday -- and with drifting might not be able to make it out of the driveway. (grin) By noon, or so, I updated my class webpages and canceled Wednesday's classes and office hours.

Grand Valley State University canceled their evening classes on Tuesday and all classes on Wednesday. Kalamazoo College closed for tomorrow, but part of their campus is on narrow streets on a hill -- I had to go there once after a snow storm, parking was impossible. And Kalamazoo Valley Community College closed early, but KVCC is just off of I-94 and is very exposed and always gets creamed by the snow.

My university? Western Michigan University did what it always does -- posted on their homepage that WMU rarely closes and here's why. They even provided a list of closures:
Weather-related WMU closings since 1999

1999, Jan. 4-5--Heavy snowfall delayed the start of spring semester.
2000, Nov. 21-22--Thanksgiving recess began Tuesday because of snow.
2006, Dec. 1--An ice storm downed trees, caused power outages.
2007, Feb. 5--Extreme cold and snow closed many Michigan colleges.
2008, Feb. 1--WMU closed due to snow.
2009, Dec. 10--Blizzard conditions closed WMU.

Funny thing, about half the time I cancel classes because the forecasts say the roads are for shit, WMU ends up agreeing with me. They've even stayed open when they should've closed and caught hell for it, then canceled classes the next day, which turned out to be not bad at all. Go figure.

However...

Around 10pm WMU bowed to the inevitable:


So along with most of the rest of Michigan's Lower Peninsula, we'll both be having a snow day.

The bad news is that the blizzard conditions will persist to as late as 7pm. With drifting, clearing our 250-foot driveway may not be useful.

Probably need to find someone with a plow to come by once on Wednesday and once on Thursday.

Be safe, all those of you who are in either the snow dump or ice coating zones of this storm.

Dr. Phil
dr_phil_physics: (kate-leo-listening-to-direction)
An Unexpected Wind Day

By now the news of this massive Midwest storm is national. But the weather forecasts Monday night were getting increasingly dire -- hurricane force wind gusts, etc. In particular, they were posting a dangerous driving advisory for open roads -- all starting at 8am Tuesday and continuing through 8pm Wednesday. Now most of my commute is open roads. In particular, the north-south US-131 run is past all sorts of farm fields. At this time of year, high winds pull up a lot of dust clouds and debris. And trucks getting hit with side gusts are trouble, too.

With extraordinary reluctance, I felt that though getting to Kalamazoo would be possible, that the chance of problems on the drive back made it prudent that I cancel Tuesday's 9am class. As my syllabus explains:
This is Fall in Michigan – Land of Driving Adventures. Dr. Phil has a long commute (154 miles/day) and Lake Michigan is a powerful force of nature. Dr. Phil will make gallant efforts to be here on time every day – but ultimately all of us have to be intelligent enough to make decisions between trying to get to class and oh, say… living. Physics is important, but if you or your vehicle can’t make it, then you can’t make it.

Previously I've canceled classes due to winter storms -- and half the time when I've canceled the university has ended up closing, too. When I called in after 8am to the department to confirm my requests to let the students know and get a take-home quiz handed out, they described it as black outside and getting darker. A lot of local schools up and down West Michigan closed. And they had a series of tornado warnings along US-131 as the front moved through.

Of Course

The front came through later than was expected in last night's forecast. So in fact I probably could have made the round-trip with reasonable safety -- but you have to call it sometime. It's after 2pm now and we're starting to get the first big gusts of wind here, as well as the first signs of sun for the day. Interesting that with our new roof, that just as you can't hear a lot of rain from the roof, you can't hear constant wind much, either.

I wrote a new update to post on my class web page, but it took me 40 minutes to do the actual post. First the FTP program went south -- the useless Not Responding message -- and yet End Process in Task Manager couldn't kill it. Finally I held down the power switch, forcing a sudden stop. Then during the next boot, it took a while for Windows to clean up after itself. Then when I finally got a desktop and started FTP, I didn't check and the firewall wasn't up yet, so in the middle of updating the files, ZoneAlarm kicked in and finally it updated. Except that the alert graphic hadn't updated.

Sometimes my old copy of Ulead PhotoImpact, when updating an existing graphic, leaves a zero length .gif or .jpg and the actual file is left in a temporary file with an extension of .#$# . So I wrote two DOS Batch files JPEGFIX and GIFFIX to fix the problem when it crops up. But since these are DOS Batch files, GIFFIX ended up saving the file as .GIF and not .gif . Not a problem for Windows, but the university's Linux server allows both .GIF and .gif , and the image URL in the webpages ended in .gif . So I had to manual redo the file extension and upload again. I love computers. Really. I do.

Dr. Phil

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